The 2024 Election

June 27, 2024:

Joe Biden decisively lost the 2024 election in the debaclebate tonight in Atlanta.

No need to dwell on all the reasons. Suffice it to say neither of the CNN characters asked this simple most basic question, “Mr. Trump, you lost the 2020 election, will you admit that?”

It should have been the first thing asked of Trump and the last thing asked of him. It was never asked.

Its absence is but one of dozens of moments Bash and Jake did not do their jobs and Trump did his.

If you have ever counseled a candidate on how to deal with the press/media in any forum you know that you tell them this, you drill them in this:

Do not answer the question you were asked; answer the question you want to answer or answer no question. Acknowledge the question then ignore it and say what you want.

Trump did it all night and as always got away with dozens of outright lies. Lying is all he does.

Anyone could have told anyone else that Trump would work to come across as calm and reasonable; that he would defy and deny the media take about who and what he is.

He did it and got away with it, especially in comparison to Biden’s enormous failure and clear old age fragility,

Trump did that, lying all the way, but he gets away with it all because by comparison Joe Biden looked and sounded like the vacant, confused, old uncle you have to visit at the nursing home.

Dem candidates across the nation will be running and ducking for cover because beside losing the presidency this night, Joe Biden might well have lost the U.S. Senate, even the House.

So what to do?

If Biden is the candiate he, and perhaps Democrats, will lose decisivley. The next wave of polls will likely show Trtump up 6, even 8 points. That is how it will come out unless?

Unless Biden has a sensible moment and a good dose of self-appreciation, honesty, and a lot of humility, and agrees to get out.

It was the conclusion of everyone with whom I texted tonight during this debacle within the first 10 minutes that he needs to admit this and leave the field.

But then who? And there are a dozen good. possibilities. The governors of Califonia, Michigan, Illinois, Dem senators up for election this year like Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, who can be replaced because a replacement can win; but not those who can’t be replaced because only they can win in their states like Sherrod Brown in Oho. Or are you thinking of Michele Obama (dream on, she hates politics)

And of course Kamala Harris – but is she or isn’t she a problem? Well on CNN later she made a vital, coherent, sharp, focused defense of the president, as she addressed the issues and unmaksed Trump with all the fervor and articutelness the President lacked entirely.

She is the best prepared Dem to replace him and has learned an enormous amount the past three and a half years, emerging as able and qualified.

So she could logically be the choice? Yes, except – except the country juist does not like her and there just isn’t time, there is no time to change that. There just is not time for that.

Then who? Who Like Andy Kim in New Jersey, but on a much larger stage is daring enough to step forward, in this instance before Juy 4, to claim the prize.

Who is there to say right now, within days who will dare to say, “I am ready and I ask the president to stand aside and let us Democrats decide on a different nominee to finish the job he has so briliiantly done to this moment, this crossroad in American nationhood and democracy.”

Someone must.

There is only one place now that can be decided and that is at the convention, which suddenly gets very real, changing from a predictable political show into an historicmoment and opportunity.

Let us remember that Abraham Lincoln won his nomination on a seemingly audacious and spontanous eruption of enthusaism for him, for the man from Illinois, which just happened to start in the galleries filled with native Illinoisans at the convention inside the Wigwam in Chicago.

Let us recall that a sudden outburst of cries of “We Want Wilkie” swept through the Republicans in Philadelphia in the summer oif 1940 as they nominated Wendell Wilkie.

Let us recall that no one really knew for sure whether FDR was serious about a 3rd term until a distant voice started and led a chant for him that rose and spread across the delegations gathered in Chicago at the Democratic National Convention in mid-1940.

Where did those cries to renominate FDR originate? In the basement of the convention hall over a loudspeaker manned by Chicago’s head of public works, a loyal party man. It swept away the opposition and swept FDR to a third nomination and 3rd term.

Could that happen now, in this world? We may find out. It may indeed be very necessary that we do.

This can happen. If it does not, if Biden refuses to go and fights for renomination in the face of party despair and a real movement to replace him, it will be a political catastrophe.

If it is opened to the convention without Biden there will be three or four real candidates – but they need to be in the field by the end of the first week in July, giving them perhaps a month.

Whoever dares tosteps forward, to supercharge politics first will become the favorite.

JFK’s remembrance is largely myth and his real moment and importance as president is exaggerated and understood now to have been far less than credited in his moment and in his sudden, tragic death But this is a moment like his memory.

This is a Kennedyesque moment.

Can the right person step foward to capture the faith of her or his party right now? Could it?

Yes. But it is a gamble with long odds and there are no more than 10 days for that to begin.

It will be a lot easier if Joe Biden can be convinced he has to withdraw. Who can convince him? In the end from all we know that is only his family and principally Jill Biden. Would they? Would she? Will they? Will she?

How would any of us know? We don’t.

Otherwise? Otherwise none of us can imagine this country, this nation anymore. And if Trump wins and has the Congress and already has the court, as he does, then this nation as we have known it will end. It will.

4 thoughts on “The 2024 Election”

  1. Agree with everything you’ve said. Watching last night in addition to my sadness and fear, my other emotion was anger. How dare Biden and those around him put us in this position. The man’s ego and stubbornness compelled him to run again well after his time. We can only hope that someone can force him to put that ego and stubbornness aside now and free the country from what looks like the MAGA onslaught you suggest.

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  2. Carl

    For the first time in years, I turned into MSNBC this morning to see what the voice of the left is saying. No need to hear a rehash on Fox News.

    I couldn’t be happier with last night’s outcome. After voting against Hilary and Biden, since January 6th I’ve been telling myself I can’t vote for Trump again…but there is my conundrum. I certainly can’t vote for Biden either.

    I won’t dwell on Biden. He’s been on the wrong side of most issues as far back as anyone can remember. He’s the epitome of a political hack. There’s no doubt in my mind that he’s been as corrupt as the worst caricature of a low life politician…not based on today’s press stories but on the litany of stories my friends from Wilmington have told me over the years.

    Biden should be toast after last night and don’t even try to bring up Kamala Harris as an alternative. So hopefully there’s a chance for another solution.

    That brings me back to Trump. Yes, he had some good policies and accomplishments but he’s a narcissist only interested in himself and how he’ll be viewed over time. He’s a sociopath who can’t tell the truth from fiction and is not worthy of again holding the presidency.

    All I need to do is remember my astonishment watching him real time on January 6th as he fanned the fires that resulted in the storming of the capitol. He’s done nothing since to assuage my concerns about him.

    So where am I? I’ve been hoping for a moderate republican to emerge but it’s not happening. I voted early for Haley in the primary. Then she withdrew. I can’t vote for Kennedy and the Republican Party is probably even more committed to Trump after last evening.

    I worry that the Democrats will now go whole hog on the progressive side to replace Biden. That certainly won’t solve my problem. Unfortunately, Joe Lieberman’s No Labels alternative party unraveled so I can’t look there for an answer, either.

    So I need to see how this plays out. Are there any moderately conservative Republicans left? I keep hoping so. What might be a far better answer is a Joe Manchin Democrat as the Democratic Party candidate. …but that’s probably wishful thinking, too.

    ….then again the debate ended barely twelve hours ago and (except for Mica and Reverend Al …who’s another charlatan) even MSNBC is saying the Dems need to move quickly to replace Biden/Harris.

    It’s going to be an interesting summer.

    Nichur

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    1. Nick, first I rushed and it was late, hence the so many typos. So apolgioes again for that and for any here.

      As to your overall take, well we know we disagree on basics, approaching politics and governance from oppsosite places on the spectrum, wjhich is fine – it makes the world go round but circling it finding agreement as to the misery and danger of Trump.

      Yes, the choice is now stark and far beyond those differendces, but especially for voters who can’t possibly vote for Trump but now are entirely put off by Biden.

      I see no way he can recover and no way that the vast uninformed electorate will know how frequent and how big Trump’s lies were.

      Every Dem I’ve talked with agrees the president has to withdraw quicky and as gracefully as he still can; sees the means and mechanisms of finding another candiadate a poliical minefield in every way, but one that has to be crossed if there is any chance of keeping Trump out of the White House.

      We are all grandparent whose own horizons are in the near enough future driven by despair for our grandkids because of what he will do, what those around him will do, not to mention that they, not their generation, not ours, will live their lives in a climate changed world.

      The nation’s most consequential year since 1861, perhaps moreso than that, comes late in our lives. I never wanted it and I know you never did. But here we and our nation are and it is a bad place to be.

      All I can say is that voting for Joe Biden is about preserving democracy and a measure of decency in all our political lives – in fact in the very best understanding of American life. I think we should talk about this next week – missed you at the last, it was a good visit.

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